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Eurovision 2026 semi-finals odds and betting

Eurovision 2026 Semi-Finals Odds and Offers

The Eurovision Song Contest is only a few weeks away, and the atmosphere is heating up, with the venue almost ready and excitement running high. We already know the running order for both semi-finals, but what about the qualifying odds?

First Semi-Final Qualifying Odds

Before we look at the odds of each participant qualifying for the final, here’s the running order for the Tuesday, 12 May, semi-final:

  1. Moldova: Satoshi - Viva, Moldova!
  2. Sweden: Felicia - My System
  3. Croatia: Lelek - Andromeda
  4. Greece: Akylas - Ferto
  5. Portugal: Bandidos do Cante - Rosa
  6. Georgia: Bzikebi - On Replay
  7. Italy: Sal Da Vinci - Per Sempre Sì
  8. Finland: Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen - Liekinheitin
  9. Montenegro: Tamara Živković - Nova Zora
  10. Estonia: Vanilla Ninja - Too Epic to Be True
  11. Israel: Noam Bettan - Michelle
  12. Germany: Sarah Engels - Fire
  13. Belgium: Essyla - Dancing on the Ice
  14. Lithuania: Lion Ceccah - Sólo Quiero Más
  15. San Marino: Senhit - Superstar
  16. Poland: Alicja - Pray
  17. Serbia: Lavina - Kraj Mene

Out of these 17 countries, Germany and Italy have pre-qualified as founding nations, so there are no odds on their qualification for the final. 

The favourites for qualifying are Finland, Greece, Israel and Sweden, all of them with odds around 1.02. To be honest, that’s not even worth a bet. They are closely followed by Serbia, Moldova, and Croatia, all with odds between 1.10 and 1.20 to qualify.

Lithuania, Montenegro, Georgia and Poland all sit at odds between 1.30 and 2.00, and if you feel confident one of them will qualify, maybe you can take a closer look at these odds. Portugal sits at similar odds with Poland, while Belgium and Estonia are a bit further away, with the smallest chance given to San Marino, with the odds over 5.00.

Second Semi-Final Qualifying Favourites

First, let’s look at the line-up we expect to see on Thursday, 14 May, the second Eurovision semi-final evening:

  1. Bulgaria: Dara - Bangaranga
  2. Azerbaijan: Jiva - Just Go
  3. Romania: Alexandra Căpitănescu - Choke Me
  4. Luxembourg: Eva Marija - Mother Nature
  5. Czechia: Daniel Zizka - Crossroads
  6. France: Monroe - Regarde!
  7. Armenia: Simón - Paloma Rumba
  8. Switzerland: Veronica Fusaro - Alice
  9. Cyprus: Antigoni - Jalla
  10. Austria: Cosmó - Tanzschein
  11. Latvia: Atvara - Ēnā
  12. Denmark: Søren Torpegaard Lund - Før Vi Går Hjem
  13. Australia: Delta Goodrem - Eclipse
  14. Ukraine: Leléka - Ridnym
  15. United Kingdom: Look Mum No Computer - Eins, Zwei, Drei
  16. Albania: Alis - Nân
  17. Malta: Aidan - Bella
  18. Norway: Jonas LovV - YA YA YA

France and the UK have pre-qualified from this group, and so has Austria as the host nation of this year’s event. Australia, Denmark and Ukraine are the absolute favourites to qualify, according to bookmakers, closely followed by Romania, Cyprus and Bulgaria.

Czechia, Malta, Norway and Albania are also given good chances of qualifying, with the odds for betting on them ranging from 1.20 to 1.50. Latvia and Armenia are also priced at odds below 2.00, Latvia ranging from 1.50 to 1.70, and Armenia from 1.70 to 2.00.

Switzerland and Luxembourg follow, while Azarbaijan is given the lowest chances of around 10% to qualify, with the odds on them being around 10.00.

Who will qualify, and how will the odds for the potential winner change? Stay tuned!