You know the football season is about to get properly underway when the UEFA Super Cup comes about, and this year it’s PSG and Aston Villa contesting it in Vienna.
UEFA Super Cup Betting Tip: History Points to a 90-Minute Draw
PSG are strong favourites here, but this is a game with a history of being drawn at 90 minutes.
In fact, nine of the last 13 editions were level at 90 minutes going back to Bayern Munich v Chelsea in 2013, which Bayern eventually won on penalties after it was 2-2 at full time. Last year’s game was also a draw at 90 minutes, also 2-2-.
The team that won the Champions League to be here is almost always the favourite, but the Europa League winner has a history of punching above its weight, and as we’ve seen already, draws are common.
Another factor is that PSG had far more players involved at the World Cup than Villa did, so they may need a couple more weeks to get them to full fitness. All good reasons to side with the draw.
- Best Bet: Draw after 90 minutes
- Odds: 3.75 (at the time of writing)
Here are the details about the match:
- Start: Wednesday, August 12, 20:00
- Venue: Stadion Salzburg, Vienna, Austria.
- Live Coverage: TNT Sports/HBO Max.
- Fun Fact: Spain have been very much the dominant force in this competition over the last few years. Since 2009, all of Barcelona (three times), Real Madrid (five times) and Atletico Madrid (three times) have won it, meaning there’s been a Spanish winner in 11 of the last 17 editions, including four in a row between 2009 and 2012 and five in a row between 2014 and 2018. Additionally, since 2009, there have been four all-Spanish contests.
How Did PSG and Villa Get Here?
PSG defended their own Champions League title in a superb campaign that saw them take out Monaco, Chelsea, Liverpool and Bayern Munich, before going on to beat Arsenal in the final on penalties. It was an interesting win because they didn’t start particularly well and needed to go via the Play-Off Route after the Group Stages rather than straight to the Round of 16.
As for Villa, they finished second in the Group Stage of the Europa League before going on to knock out Lille, Bologna, Nottingham Forest and then comfortably beating Freiburg 3-0 in the final in Istanbul.
Latest Odds on PSG v Aston Villa
PSG are 1.75 favourites to win in 90 minutes and just 1.4 to lift the trophy, even if it means doing so via a penalty shoot-out, which is how they won it last year. It’s 3.75 that it ends in a draw at 90 minutes while Villa are 4.5 to win it in regular time.
The bookies are split on whether it’s a match likely to have goals in it, with both over 2.5 goals and under 2.5 goals available at 1.9, while both teams to score is a 1.87 chance.
Who’s Good for a Goal?
If there are to be goals, who could get one?
For PSG it’s the usual suspects, with France World Cup stars Ousmane Dembele 2.2, Desire Doue 2.88 and Bradley Barcola 3.75, while Georgia’s brilliant winger Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, who had the summer off after his country didn’t qualify for the World Cup and is fresh and raring to go, is on offer at 2.88 to score anytime.
For Villa, Ollie Watkins, who didn’t have many opportunities to shine at the World Cup with England, is the shortest price at 3.75 and skipper John McGinn an eye-catching 7.0 for a player who often saves his goals for the biggest games.
Emilio Buendia scored in last year’s Europa League final and is 6.0 to score here, but the other two scorers from that Europa League final certainly won’t be scoring in this one; Morgan Rogers was sold to Chelsea while Youri Tielemans moved to Manchester United.
This is a match that, as important as it is in terms of proving early-season silverware to the winner, tends to be played in good spirits. So over 3.5 cards is available at 2.15 with a first-half red card at 10.0 and a second-half red card at 6.5.
