This is a Gameday 31 match of the German Bundesliga, held at MHPArena, home of Stuttgart.
What We Know
- First match: Heidenheim - Stuttgart 1-3
- Six out of their last seven H2H matches had a minimum of three goals.
- Stuttgart’s last four Bundesliga and DFB Pokal (German Cup) matches had a minimum of three goals.
- In Heidenheim’s last four matches, at least one team didn’t score.
Betting Tip: Stuttgart - Heidenheim
Stuttgart scores a lot, but concedes goals with ease as well. The latter part is equally as true when it comes to Heidenheim. The home team must attack, as they desperately need the points, even though they are also focused on the Cup final. With this in mind, we choose the over 2.5 goals in the match.
- Betting Tip: Over 2.5 Goals
- Odds: 1.44 (at the time of writing)
- Stake: 6
Stuttgart
In the most impressive game of last weekend, Stuttgart drew 4-4 in an away match with Union Berlin. Even more impressively, all eight goals were scored in the first half.
Union took a 2-0 lead (5', 16'), but Stuttgart equalised through Undav (23') and Millot (29'). At the 38th minute mark, the score was 3-2, and at 43', it was 3-3, thanks to a goal by centre-back Chabot. The visitors then took the lead through Fuhrich at 45+1', but were equalised before half-time (45+6').
Stuttgart were extremely vulnerable when defending set pieces, as three out of Union’s goals were scored this way. Their defensive instability has been evident throughout the season and has left them in 11th place in the league table.
Those defensive struggles are evident in the fact that they have conceded 50 goals in 30 rounds (1.7 per game), but have also scored 59 (1.9 goals per game), making them the fifth-best attack in the Bundesliga. They have only kept 5 clean sheets in 30 matches.
With only one win in their previous 5 matches (1-1-3), Sebastian Hoeness's team remains 6 points away from the 6th-placed Mainz, and playing in one of the UEFA competitions next season seems like a tough mission.
Heidenheim
They were powerless against the leaders Bayern Munich and lost easily 0-4 at home last weekend. Bayern scored three goals in the first half, adding the fourth in the 56th minute to seal the win.
It was the third consecutive defeat for Heidenheim, who haven’t even scored in any of these games. The last goal they scored was in a 1-0 home win against struggling Wolfsburg on 29 March.
Frank Schmidt's side remains 16th in the standings, a position that qualifies them for the promotion/relegation playoff against the 3rd-placed team in the Zweite Liga.
They are lucky not to be within the relegation zone, and it’s thanks to the poor form of the bottom two clubs. Penultimate-placed Bochum are coming off five consecutive defeats, while trailing Holstein Kiel have only managed two draws in the same period.
Heidenheim’s away record is 3-3-9, conceding just more than two goals per game (31 in 15 matches).
