Ecuador is hosting Brazil in their match for the 15th round of the CONMEBOL World Cup qualifiers. The game will take place at Monumental Stadium (Guayaquil, Ecuador).
Ten teams compete against each other in the group, in a double round-robin tournament (18 rounds). The top 6 qualify directly, while the 7th-place team will have to go through the playoffs.
What We Know
- First match: Brazil - Ecuador 1-0
- Brazil is unbeaten in their last 11 matches against Ecuador, scoring in six straight.
- Their last five duels have ended with under 2.5 goals.
- Eight of Ecuador’s last 10 matches have ended with under 2.5 goals.
- Five of Brazil’s last six matches saw BTTS.
Betting Tip Ecuador - Brazil
Had Brazil not signed Carlo Ancelotti, this game might’ve been a different story. Don Carlo is here, however, and provides a significant boost for the away side.
It’s unclear how they will play under him, but with that sort of mental boost, it’s unlikely they’ll face defeat. Our pick is Brazil to win or draw + Under 3.5 Goals.
- Betting tip: Brazil to win or draw + Under 3.5 Goals
- Odds: 1.55 (at the time of writing)
- Stake: 5
Ecuador
For a team like Ecuador, being one step away from qualifying for the 2026 World Cup, with two games remaining in the qualifiers, means that things have gone very well. Even more so when only World Champions Argentina are above them in the standings, and they have the best defence among everyone else.
They’ve only conceded five times in 14 games, just over a goal per three full games.
The situation is not quite as rosy in the attack, as they have scored only 13 times, less than a goal per game. Still, they are rightfully in second place, tallying seven wins, five draws, and just two defeats.
The game against Brazil is crucial. A point will mean qualification is very close, while a win against Brazil is always a remarkable achievement. The home side will aim for their 8th clean sheet in their last nine games.
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Brazil
It might be a bit of a stretch to say that Brazil is in danger of missing the boat here, as they currently sit in fourth place, six points ahead of seventh-place Venezuela. Still, a loss to Ecuador might bring trouble.
The appointment of Carlo Ancelotti, however, is exactly the kind of morale boost Brazil needs to turn things around, and everyone around the team is optimistic. A much-needed change following the crushing 4-1 defeat to Argentina.
The Italian legend took the reins of the team in anticipation of leading them in the United States World Cup. Don Carlo and everyone around him want to clinch their place there as soon as possible.
To avoid further problems, it is imperative for Brazil’s defensive discipline to improve. They have conceded seven times in their last four games and 16 in their 14 total games, definitely not up to the standards to which Brazilians are accustomed.
