One of the biggest games in club football is taking place on Sunday night when Real Madrid travel to Barcelona, and we’ve got the team news, some useful stats, and the latest odds ahead of it.
Match Facts and Overview
- Start: 10 May at 20:00
- Venue: Spotify Camp Noy, Barcelona
- Live coverage: Premier Sports 1
It’s been surprisingly easy for Barcelona in La Liga this term.
After 34 games, they’re on 88 points thanks to an excellent win rate that has seen them victorious in 29 of those matches, drawing just once and losing four.
That puts them 11 points clear of Real in second.
Real are then 9 points clear of Villarreal in third and 14 points ahead of Atletico Madrid in fourth.
So this isn’t quite the all-important title decider it normally is between these two, but it’s still El Clásico, one of the most high-profile and most-viewed matches across the planet.
Betting Tip: Barcelona - Real Madrid
A good starting point here is that Barcelona will definitely be without injured youngster Lamine Yamal, and that’s obviously a big loss.
As for Real, there’s no Rodrygo, Eder Militao or Dani Carvajal, but worse still, they may be without Kylian Mbappe. Real manager Alvaro Arbeloa is refusing to rule him out, though the Frenchman may have to settle for a place on the bench.
This is an encounter that always seems destined for goals, and the record books prove that, with both teams scoring two or more goals each in five of the last 11 matches between them.
With less pressure on the players than normal, as the outcome won’t change the table too much, whatever happens, there may be even greater freedom than usual. So both teams to score two or more each at 2.75 looks like it’s got a real chance.
- Prediction: Both teams to score 2+ goals
- Odds: 2.75 (at the time of writing)
Latest Odds Have Barcelona As Warm Favourite
Understandably, given the table and home advantage. Barca are the favourite at 1.67, with the draw at 3.5 and Real at 3.3.
But if it’s a safe bet you want at shorter odds, go for goals. Here are the last 11 scores between these two in all competitions, earliest first: 2-1, 0-4, 1-2, 4-1, 3-2, 0-4, 2-5, 3-2, 4-3, 2-1, and 3-2.
For the record, all 11 went over 2.5 goals, so it’s no surprise that three or more goals is just 1.25. If you want a slightly higher price, both teams to score, a winner in nine of the last 11, is 1.29.
A 4-0 Barcelona victory, which happened last season in Madrid, is 31.0, while a 3-2 win for Barca, which happened in two of the last four between them, is 13.0.
On the goalscorer markets, that man Vinicius is 3.1 to score after netting two last weekend, with Raphinha 2.7 to get a goal himself and Jude Bellingham 3/6 for a goal and 4.5 for an assist.
For those interested in the possibility of penalties being awarded, the odds are 4.33 that Barcelona get one and 6.0 that Real do. Then it’s 13.0 that Barcelona get one and miss it, while it’s 17.0 that Real are awarded a spot-lick and fail to convert it.
As a side note, Jose Mourinho is just 1.4 with Bet365 to be Real Madrid manager for the first game of next season, in what would be his second spell at the club, so he’ll be watching with interest.
