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fb_10153855863810962

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  • Posts

    4
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Profile Information

  • Gender
    Male
  • Location
    Quebec, Canada
  • Interests
    Poker, gambling, video games, women (lol)

fb_10153855863810962's Achievements

  1. Poker players like me call it variance. But sometimes it's true that everything I touch (poker, blackjack, slots) is on a winning streak and other times bad luck is sticking. Now, the question here is when am I on a winning streak and when I'll be on a losing one ? That's why I like to have more chances on my sides with some maths. But on the long term, we all know that the casino is the real big winner
  2. OK, I made my own research and made some math. Let's say I have 100% bonus with 30X WR on the bonus only. I make a deposit of 100$ and can play with 200$ but I'll have to wager 3 000$. Then I play slots with an average RTP of 96 %. That means that theorically, when I bet 100$, I get 96$ back on average and that the casino keeps 4$. Now, I have to bet 30X 100$, mathematically speaking, the casino will get a return of 30 X 4$ = 120 $. That means that for every 100$ of bonus the casino gives you, it gets 120$ back. It's still a negative expectation. To have even chances, the WR needs to be no more than 25X if you play 96% RTP on average. If you get a 30X bonus, your average RTP needs to be over 97% on average. My conclusion, mathematically, it is better to play without a bonus unless the WR has a positive expectation vs the average RTP of the slots you play. Any comment ?
  3. So far, I usually play with bonuses and had good withdrawals. The problem I had so far is that I build nice bankrolls with big wins, but with WR, I lost half of it. I like to play with the casino money, but I'm still wondering what is the best option mathematically ? No mathematicians out there ?
  4. I would like to know what you think about online casino bonuses. Do you prefer to play with bonuses or not ? And why ? Do you have mathematically explanation behind your choice ? Do you have a strategy to complete your wagering requirements ? Personnally, I think 100% bonus with 25X to 30X the wagering requirement is fair enough and should be taken. I avoid bonuses under 100% and/or bonuses with high wagering requirements like 40X deposit + bonus. GOOD LUCK GAMBLERS !!!
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